stats: /stats/countries comparison and /stats/countries/[iso3] profiles (Curaçao via World Bank), more WB indicators, Countries + Curaçao cards, nav/sitemap/start links

2026-10-25 21:22:20 +00:00
parent d19313035f
commit 2a4466cb82
12 changed files with 887 additions and 5 deletions
--- a/scripts/stats/worldbank.ts
+++ b/scripts/stats/worldbank.ts
@@ -49,7 +49,59 @@ export const WB_INDICATORS: { id: string; title: string; unit: string; theme: st
 		theme: 'budget'
 	},
 	{ id: 'GC.XPN.TOTL.GD.ZS', title: 'Government expense', unit: '% of GDP', theme: 'budget' },
-	{ id: 'GC.DOD.TOTL.GD.ZS', title: 'Central government debt', unit: '% of GDP', theme: 'budget' }
+	{ id: 'GC.DOD.TOTL.GD.ZS', title: 'Central government debt', unit: '% of GDP', theme: 'budget' },
+	// Country profiles (/stats/countries/[iso3]); most of these also cover Curaçao.
+	{
+		id: 'NY.GNP.PCAP.CD',
+		title: 'GNI per capita (Atlas)',
+		unit: 'current USD',
+		theme: 'countries'
+	},
+	{
+		id: 'SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS',
+		title: 'Unemployment (ILO modelled)',
+		unit: '% of labour force',
+		theme: 'countries'
+	},
+	{ id: 'SP.DYN.LE00.IN', title: 'Life expectancy at birth', unit: 'years', theme: 'countries' },
+	{ id: 'SP.DYN.TFRT.IN', title: 'Fertility rate', unit: 'births per woman', theme: 'countries' },
+	{
+		id: 'SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS',
+		title: 'Population aged 65+',
+		unit: '% of population',
+		theme: 'countries'
+	},
+	{
+		id: 'NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS',
+		title: 'Exports of goods and services',
+		unit: '% of GDP',
+		theme: 'countries'
+	},
+	{
+		id: 'NE.IMP.GNFS.ZS',
+		title: 'Imports of goods and services',
+		unit: '% of GDP',
+		theme: 'countries'
+	},
+	{ id: 'NV.SRV.TOTL.ZS', title: 'Services, value added', unit: '% of GDP', theme: 'countries' },
+	{
+		id: 'ST.INT.ARVL',
+		title: 'International tourism, arrivals',
+		unit: 'arrivals',
+		theme: 'countries'
+	},
+	{
+		id: 'ST.INT.RCPT.CD',
+		title: 'International tourism, receipts',
+		unit: 'current USD',
+		theme: 'countries'
+	},
+	{
+		id: 'EG.ELC.RNEW.ZS',
+		title: 'Renewable electricity output',
+		unit: '% of electricity',
+		theme: 'energy'
+	}
 ];

 type WbRow = {
--- a/src/lib/projects.ts
+++ b/src/lib/projects.ts
@@ -51,6 +51,12 @@ export const statsPages = [
 		subtitle: 'population, housing and neighbourhoods in Gouda',
 		href: '/stats/gouda',
 		external: false
+	},
+	{
+		name: 'countries',
+		subtitle: 'the Netherlands, Curaçao, the US, Korea, China and more side by side',
+		href: '/stats/countries',
+		external: false
 	}
 ] as const;

--- a/src/lib/server/stats.ts
+++ b/src/lib/server/stats.ts
@@ -25,6 +25,8 @@ export type StatSeries = {
 	region: string | null;
 	sourceId: string;
 	points: StatPoint[];
+	/** First forecast year (IMF WEO vintages); points from that year on are projections. */
+	forecastFrom?: number;
 };
 export type SeriesRequest = {
 	id: string;
@@ -48,8 +50,10 @@ export async function loadSeries(
 			freq: string;
 			region_code: string | null;
 			source_id: string;
+			forecast_from: string | null;
 		}[]
-	>`select series_id, title, unit, freq, region_code, source_id from stats.series
+	>`select series_id, title, unit, freq, region_code, source_id, meta->>'forecastFrom' as forecast_from
+		from stats.series
 		where series_id = any(${reqs.map((r) => r.id)})`;
 	const out: Record<string, StatSeries> = {};
 	await Promise.all(
@@ -72,6 +76,7 @@ export async function loadSeries(
 				freq: m.freq,
 				region: m.region_code,
 				sourceId: m.source_id,
+				...(m.forecast_from ? { forecastFrom: Number(m.forecast_from) } : {}),
 				points: rows.map((r) => [r.period, Math.round(r.value * 1e6) / 1e6])
 			};
 		})
@@ -181,3 +186,15 @@ export async function loadCbsCross(
 	}
 	return [...byCode.values()].sort((a, b) => a.code.localeCompare(b.code));
 }
+
+export type LatestValue = { period: string; value: number };
+/** Latest observed (non-forecast) value per series; missing ids are absent. */
+export async function loadLatest(ids: string[]): Promise<Record<string, LatestValue>> {
+	if (!ids.length) return {};
+	const rows = await client<{ series_id: string; period: string; value: number }[]>`
+		select distinct on (series_id) series_id, to_char(period, 'YYYY-MM-DD') as period, value
+		from stats.obs
+		where series_id = any(${ids}) and value is not null and status is distinct from 'forecast'
+		order by series_id, period desc`;
+	return Object.fromEntries(rows.map((r) => [r.series_id, { period: r.period, value: r.value }]));
+}
--- a/src/lib/stats/countries.ts
+++ b/src/lib/stats/countries.ts
@@ -0,0 +1,130 @@
+// Country profiles for /stats/countries and /stats/countries/[iso3]: which regions get a page,
+// and which normalised series (World Bank, IMF WEO) feed each indicator. IMF first where it
+// exists (it has forecasts); the World Bank fills in for places the IMF skips, like Curaçao.
+
+export const COUNTRY_PAGES = [
+	'NLD',
+	'CUW',
+	'USA',
+	'KOR',
+	'CHN',
+	'DEU',
+	'FRA',
+	'BEL',
+	'GBR',
+	'JPN',
+	'IND',
+	'BRA',
+	'RUS',
+	'EU27',
+	'WLD'
+] as const;
+export type CountryCode = (typeof COUNTRY_PAGES)[number];
+export const isCountryPage = (code: string): code is CountryCode =>
+	(COUNTRY_PAGES as readonly string[]).includes(code);
+
+export const FLAG: Record<string, string> = {
+	NLD: '🇳🇱',
+	CUW: '🇨🇼',
+	USA: '🇺🇸',
+	KOR: '🇰🇷',
+	CHN: '🇨🇳',
+	DEU: '🇩🇪',
+	FRA: '🇫🇷',
+	BEL: '🇧🇪',
+	GBR: '🇬🇧',
+	JPN: '🇯🇵',
+	IND: '🇮🇳',
+	BRA: '🇧🇷',
+	RUS: '🇷🇺',
+	EU27: '🇪🇺',
+	WLD: '🌍'
+};
+
+export const COUNTRY_COLOR: Record<string, string> = {
+	NLD: '#f97316',
+	CUW: '#06b6d4',
+	USA: '#3b82f6',
+	KOR: '#e11d48',
+	CHN: '#eab308',
+	DEU: '#64748b',
+	FRA: '#6366f1',
+	BEL: '#a16207',
+	GBR: '#a855f7',
+	JPN: '#ec4899',
+	IND: '#10b981',
+	BRA: '#84cc16',
+	RUS: '#0d9488',
+	EU27: '#1d4ed8',
+	WLD: '#94a3b8'
+};
+
+/** Comparison columns: series id candidates in order of preference ({c} = region code). */
+export const COMPARE_COLUMNS = [
+	{ key: 'pop', label: 'Population', ids: ['wb:SP.POP.TOTL:{c}'], fmt: 'compact' },
+	{ key: 'gdppc', label: 'GDP/cap PPP', ids: ['wb:NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD:{c}'], fmt: 'usd' },
+	{
+		key: 'growth',
+		label: 'Growth',
+		ids: ['imf:NGDP_RPCH:{c}', 'wb:NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG:{c}'],
+		fmt: 'pct'
+	},
+	{
+		key: 'infl',
+		label: 'Inflation',
+		ids: ['imf:PCPIPCH:{c}', 'wb:FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG:{c}'],
+		fmt: 'pct'
+	},
+	{
+		key: 'unemp',
+		label: 'Unemployment',
+		ids: ['imf:LUR:{c}', 'wb:SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS:{c}'],
+		fmt: 'pct'
+	},
+	{
+		key: 'debt',
+		label: 'Gov. debt',
+		ids: ['imf:GGXWDG_NGDP:{c}', 'wb:GC.DOD.TOTL.GD.ZS:{c}'],
+		fmt: 'pct'
+	},
+	{ key: 'life', label: 'Life exp.', ids: ['wb:SP.DYN.LE00.IN:{c}'], fmt: 'years' }
+] as const;
+
+export const seriesIds = (c: string, ids: readonly string[]) => ids.map((i) => i.replace('{c}', c));
+
+/** Indicators shown on a country page (World Bank ids unless prefixed). */
+export const PROFILE_SERIES = [
+	'wb:SP.POP.TOTL',
+	'wb:SM.POP.NETM',
+	'wb:SP.DYN.LE00.IN',
+	'wb:SP.DYN.TFRT.IN',
+	'wb:SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS',
+	'wb:NY.GDP.PCAP.KD',
+	'wb:NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD',
+	'wb:NY.GNP.PCAP.CD',
+	'wb:NY.GDP.MKTP.CD',
+	'wb:NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG',
+	'wb:FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG',
+	'wb:SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS',
+	'wb:NE.TRD.GNFS.ZS',
+	'wb:NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS',
+	'wb:NE.IMP.GNFS.ZS',
+	'wb:NV.SRV.TOTL.ZS',
+	'wb:ST.INT.ARVL',
+	'wb:ST.INT.RCPT.CD',
+	'wb:EG.IMP.CONS.ZS',
+	'wb:EG.ELC.RNEW.ZS',
+	'wb:TM.TAX.MRCH.WM.AR.ZS',
+	'wb:GC.REV.XGRT.GD.ZS',
+	'wb:GC.XPN.TOTL.GD.ZS',
+	'wb:GC.DOD.TOTL.GD.ZS',
+	'imf:NGDP_RPCH',
+	'imf:NGDPDPC',
+	'imf:PPPPC',
+	'imf:PCPIPCH',
+	'imf:LUR',
+	'imf:GGXWDG_NGDP',
+	'imf:GGXCNL_NGDP',
+	'imf:GGR_G01_GDP_PT',
+	'imf:G_X_G01_GDP_PT'
+];
--- a/src/lib/stats/regions.ts
+++ b/src/lib/stats/regions.ts
@@ -31,5 +31,8 @@ export const COUNTRY: Record<string, string> = {
 	BEL: 'Belgium',
 	GBR: 'United Kingdom',
 	JPN: 'Japan',
-	IND: 'India'
+	IND: 'India',
+	BRA: 'Brazil',
+	RUS: 'Russia',
+	EU27: 'European Union'
 };
--- a/src/routes/sitemap.xml/+server.ts
+++ b/src/routes/sitemap.xml/+server.ts
@@ -18,6 +18,8 @@ const staticPaths = [
 	'/stats/economy',
 	'/stats/energy',
 	'/stats/gouda',
+	'/stats/countries',
+	'/stats/countries/CUW',
 	'/trackers/books',
 	'/trackers/spotting',
 	'/trackers/cars',
--- a/src/routes/start/+page.svelte
+++ b/src/routes/start/+page.svelte
@@ -51,7 +51,9 @@
 		{ name: 'Stats', href: '/stats' },
 		{ name: 'Stats: economy', href: '/stats/economy' },
 		{ name: 'Stats: energy', href: '/stats/energy' },
-		{ name: 'Stats: Gouda', href: '/stats/gouda' }
+		{ name: 'Stats: Gouda', href: '/stats/gouda' },
+		{ name: 'Stats: countries', href: '/stats/countries' },
+		{ name: 'Stats: Curaçao', href: '/stats/countries/CUW' }
 	];

 	const host = $derived(data.host);
--- a/src/routes/stats/+page.svelte
+++ b/src/routes/stats/+page.svelte
@@ -7,6 +7,8 @@
 	import Landmark from 'lucide-svelte/icons/landmark';
 	import Flame from 'lucide-svelte/icons/flame';
 	import House from 'lucide-svelte/icons/house';
+	import Globe from 'lucide-svelte/icons/globe';
+	import Palmtree from 'lucide-svelte/icons/tree-palm';
 	import ArrowRight from 'lucide-svelte/icons/arrow-right';

 	let { data } = $props();
@@ -62,6 +64,20 @@
 			icon: House,
 			grad: 'linear-gradient(135deg,#10b981,#06b6d4)',
 			text: 'Population since 1942, house prices, housing stock, municipal levies and neighbourhoods, next to the surrounding towns.'
+		},
+		{
+			href: '/stats/countries',
+			title: 'Countries',
+			icon: Globe,
+			grad: 'linear-gradient(135deg,#a855f7,#ec4899)',
+			text: 'The Netherlands, Curaçao, the US, South Korea, China and more side by side: income, growth, inflation, debt and life expectancy.'
+		},
+		{
+			href: '/stats/countries/CUW',
+			title: 'Curaçao',
+			icon: Palmtree,
+			grad: 'linear-gradient(135deg,#06b6d4,#3b82f6)',
+			text: 'Population, income, inflation, tourism, trade and government finances of Curaçao.'
 		}
 	] as const;
 </script>
@@ -164,7 +180,7 @@
 <div class="sections">
 	{#each SECTIONS as sec (sec.href)}
 		{@const Icon = sec.icon}
-		<a class="section-card" href={resolve(sec.href)}>
+		<a class="section-card" href={resolve(sec.href as '/stats')}>
 			<span class="section-icon" style:background={sec.grad}><Icon size={20} /></span>
 			<span class="section-body">
 				<strong>{sec.title}</strong>
--- a/src/routes/stats/countries/+page.server.ts
+++ b/src/routes/stats/countries/+page.server.ts
@@ -0,0 +1,29 @@
+import { cached, loadLatest, loadSeries } from '#lib/server/stats.js';
+import { COMPARE_COLUMNS, COUNTRY_PAGES, seriesIds } from '#lib/stats/countries.js';
+import type { PageServerLoad } from './$types';
+
+export const load: PageServerLoad = async () =>
+	cached('stats:countries', async () => {
+		const ids = COUNTRY_PAGES.flatMap((c) =>
+			COMPARE_COLUMNS.flatMap((col) => seriesIds(c, col.ids))
+		);
+		const [latest, series] = await Promise.all([
+			loadLatest(ids),
+			loadSeries(
+				COUNTRY_PAGES.flatMap((c) => [
+					{ id: `wb:NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD:${c}` },
+					{ id: `wb:SP.DYN.LE00.IN:${c}`, from: '1960-01-01' }
+				])
+			)
+		]);
+		const rows = COUNTRY_PAGES.map((c) => ({
+			code: c,
+			values: Object.fromEntries(
+				COMPARE_COLUMNS.map((col) => {
+					const id = seriesIds(c, col.ids).find((i) => latest[i]);
+					return [col.key, id ? { ...latest[id], source: id.split(':')[0] } : null];
+				})
+			)
+		}));
+		return { rows, series };
+	});
--- a/src/routes/stats/countries/+page.svelte
+++ b/src/routes/stats/countries/+page.svelte
@@ -0,0 +1,174 @@
+<script lang="ts">
+	import { resolve } from '$app/paths';
+	import StatChart from '#lib/stats/StatChart.svelte';
+	import { barRankOption, lineOption, type StatPoint } from '#lib/stats/chart.js';
+	import { compact, num } from '#lib/stats/format.js';
+	import { COUNTRY } from '#lib/stats/regions.js';
+	import { COMPARE_COLUMNS, COUNTRY_COLOR, FLAG } from '#lib/stats/countries.js';
+
+	let { data } = $props();
+	const s = $derived(data.series);
+	const a = $derived(data.attributions);
+	const pts = (id: string): StatPoint[] => s[id]?.points ?? [];
+	const name = (c: string) => COUNTRY[c] ?? c;
+	const HIGHLIGHT = ['NLD', 'CUW', 'USA', 'KOR', 'CHN', 'WLD'];
+
+	function show(v: { value: number } | null, fmt: string) {
+		if (!v) return '–';
+		if (fmt === 'compact') return compact(v.value);
+		if (fmt === 'usd') return `$${compact(v.value)}`;
+		if (fmt === 'years') return num(v.value, 1);
+		return `${num(v.value, 1)}%`;
+	}
+	const rank = (key: string) =>
+		data.rows
+			.filter((r) => r.values[key])
+			.map((r) => ({
+				label: `${FLAG[r.code] ?? ''} ${name(r.code)}`,
+				value: r.values[key]!.value,
+				highlight: r.code === 'NLD' || r.code === 'CUW'
+			}));
+	const gdpLines = $derived(
+		HIGHLIGHT.map((c) => ({
+			name: name(c),
+			points: pts(`wb:NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD:${c}`),
+			color: COUNTRY_COLOR[c]
+		})).filter((l) => l.points.length)
+	);
+	const lifeLines = $derived(
+		HIGHLIGHT.map((c) => ({
+			name: name(c),
+			points: pts(`wb:SP.DYN.LE00.IN:${c}`),
+			color: COUNTRY_COLOR[c]
+		})).filter((l) => l.points.length)
+	);
+	const newestYear = (key: string) =>
+		data.rows.reduce((m, r) => {
+			const p = r.values[key]?.period;
+			return p && p > m ? p : m;
+		}, '');
+</script>
+
+<svelte:head>
+	<title>countries · stats · Stan Runge</title>
+	<meta
+		name="description"
+		content="Countries side by side: the Netherlands, Curaçao, the US, South Korea, China and more, on income, growth, inflation, debt, population and life expectancy."
+	/>
+</svelte:head>
+
+<section class="stats-intro">
+	<span class="stats-eyebrow">stats / countries</span>
+	<h1>Countries</h1>
+	<p>
+		The places I compare most, side by side. Latest actual values (no forecasts) from the World Bank
+		and the IMF World Economic Outlook; the IMF is used where it covers a country. Click a country
+		for its full profile.
+	</p>
+</section>
+
+<div class="table-wrap">
+	<table class="stats-table">
+		<thead>
+			<tr>
+				<th>Country</th>
+				{#each COMPARE_COLUMNS as col (col.key)}<th class="num">{col.label}</th>{/each}
+			</tr>
+		</thead>
+		<tbody>
+			{#each data.rows as r (r.code)}
+				<tr class:hl={r.code === 'NLD' || r.code === 'CUW'}>
+					<td>
+						<a class="country-link" href={resolve(`/stats/countries/${r.code}` as '/stats')}
+							><span class="flag">{FLAG[r.code]}</span>{name(r.code)}</a
+						>
+					</td>
+					{#each COMPARE_COLUMNS as col (col.key)}
+						{@const v = r.values[col.key]}
+						<td class="num" title={v ? `${v.period.slice(0, 4)} · ${v.source}` : ''}
+							>{show(v, col.fmt)}<small>{v ? ` '${v.period.slice(2, 4)}` : ''}</small></td
+						>
+					{/each}
+				</tr>
+			{/each}
+		</tbody>
+	</table>
+</div>
+<p class="stats-note">
+	Small numbers after each value are the year it refers to. GDP per capita in constant 2021
+	international dollars (PPP). Growth, inflation, unemployment and debt from the IMF where
+	available, otherwise the World Bank.
+</p>
+
+<div class="stats-grid">
+	<StatChart
+		title="GDP per capita, PPP"
+		subtitle={`constant 2021 international $ · ${newestYear('gdppc').slice(0, 4)}`}
+		sources={['worldbank']}
+		attributions={a}
+		height="420px"
+		option={(t) => barRankOption(t, rank('gdppc'), { decimals: 0, unit: '$', color: '#10b981' })}
+	/>
+	<StatChart
+		title="Life expectancy at birth"
+		subtitle={`years · ${newestYear('life').slice(0, 4)}`}
+		sources={['worldbank']}
+		attributions={a}
+		height="420px"
+		option={(t) => barRankOption(t, rank('life'), { decimals: 1, unit: 'yr', color: '#a855f7' })}
+	/>
+	<StatChart
+		title="GDP per capita over time"
+		subtitle="PPP, constant 2021 international $"
+		sources={['worldbank']}
+		attributions={a}
+		option={(t) => lineOption(t, gdpLines, { unit: '$', decimals: 0 })}
+	/>
+	<StatChart
+		title="Life expectancy since 1960"
+		subtitle="years at birth"
+		sources={['worldbank']}
+		attributions={a}
+		option={(t) => lineOption(t, lifeLines, { unit: 'years', decimals: 1, min: 'dataMin' })}
+	/>
+	<StatChart
+		title="Government debt"
+		subtitle="% of GDP · IMF where available, else World Bank (central government)"
+		sources={['imf', 'worldbank']}
+		attributions={a}
+		height="420px"
+		option={(t) => barRankOption(t, rank('debt'), { decimals: 0, unit: '%', color: '#e11d48' })}
+	/>
+	<StatChart
+		title="Inflation"
+		subtitle="% consumer prices, latest actual year"
+		sources={['imf', 'worldbank']}
+		attributions={a}
+		height="420px"
+		option={(t) => barRankOption(t, rank('infl'), { decimals: 1, unit: '%', color: '#f97316' })}
+	/>
+</div>
+
+<style>
+	.country-link {
+		display: inline-flex;
+		gap: 0.5rem;
+		align-items: center;
+		color: var(--site-text);
+		text-decoration: none;
+		font-weight: 550;
+	}
+	.country-link:hover {
+		text-decoration: underline;
+	}
+	.flag {
+		font-size: 1.1rem;
+	}
+	tr.hl td {
+		background: color-mix(in srgb, var(--site-text) 4%, transparent);
+	}
+	td small {
+		color: var(--site-muted);
+		font-size: 0.68rem;
+	}
+</style>
--- a/src/routes/stats/countries/[iso3]/+page.server.ts
+++ b/src/routes/stats/countries/[iso3]/+page.server.ts
@@ -0,0 +1,23 @@
+import { error, redirect } from '@sveltejs/kit';
+import { cached, loadSeries } from '#lib/server/stats.js';
+import { isCountryPage, PROFILE_SERIES } from '#lib/stats/countries.js';
+import type { PageServerLoad } from './$types';
+
+export const load: PageServerLoad = async ({ params, url }) => {
+	const code = params.iso3.toUpperCase();
+	if (code !== params.iso3 && isCountryPage(code))
+		redirect(308, `/stats/countries/${code}${url.search}`);
+	if (!isCountryPage(code)) error(404, 'Not Found');
+	const series = await cached(`stats:country:${code}`, () =>
+		loadSeries([
+			...PROFILE_SERIES.map((id) => `${id}:${code}`),
+			// Benchmarks for the "next to the Netherlands and the world" lines.
+			...['NLD', 'WLD'].flatMap((c) => [
+				`wb:NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD:${c}`,
+				`wb:SP.DYN.LE00.IN:${c}`,
+				`wb:FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG:${c}`
+			])
+		])
+	);
+	return { code, series };
+};
--- a/src/routes/stats/countries/[iso3]/+page.svelte
+++ b/src/routes/stats/countries/[iso3]/+page.svelte
@@ -0,0 +1,428 @@
+<script lang="ts">
+	import { resolve } from '$app/paths';
+	import StatChart from '#lib/stats/StatChart.svelte';
+	import Kpi from '#lib/stats/Kpi.svelte';
+	import { change, latest, lineOption, type Line, type StatPoint } from '#lib/stats/chart.js';
+	import { compact, num, period } from '#lib/stats/format.js';
+	import { COUNTRY } from '#lib/stats/regions.js';
+	import { COUNTRY_COLOR, FLAG } from '#lib/stats/countries.js';
+	import ArrowLeft from 'lucide-svelte/icons/arrow-left';
+
+	let { data } = $props();
+	const c = $derived(data.code);
+	const s = $derived(data.series);
+	const a = $derived(data.attributions);
+	const name = $derived(COUNTRY[c] ?? c);
+	const color = $derived(COUNTRY_COLOR[c] ?? '#3b82f6');
+	const has = (id: string) => (s[`${id}:${c}`]?.points.length ?? 0) > 0;
+	const pts = (id: string, code = c): StatPoint[] => s[`${id}:${code}`]?.points ?? [];
+	const forecastFrom = (id: string) => s[`${id}:${c}`]?.forecastFrom;
+
+	/** IMF series split into outcome (solid) and WEO projection (dashed). */
+	function imfLines(id: string, label: string, col: string): Line[] {
+		const all = pts(id);
+		const from = forecastFrom(id);
+		if (!from) return [{ name: label, points: all, color: col }];
+		const cut = `${from}-01-01`;
+		const past = all.filter(([d]) => d < cut);
+		const future = all.filter(([d]) => d >= cut);
+		return [
+			{ name: label, points: past, color: col },
+			{
+				name: `${label} (IMF forecast)`,
+				points: past.length ? [past[past.length - 1], ...future] : future,
+				color: col,
+				dashed: true
+			}
+		];
+	}
+	/** IMF if it covers the country, else the World Bank fallback. */
+	const pick = (imf: string, wb: string) => (has(imf) ? imf : wb);
+	const lastOf = (id: string) => {
+		const from = forecastFrom(id);
+		const p = pts(id).filter(([d]) => !from || d < `${from}-01-01`);
+		return latest(p);
+	};
+
+	const kPop = $derived(lastOf('wb:SP.POP.TOTL'));
+	const kGdp = $derived(lastOf('wb:NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD'));
+	const kGrowth = $derived(lastOf(pick('imf:NGDP_RPCH', 'wb:NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG')));
+	const kInfl = $derived(lastOf(pick('imf:PCPIPCH', 'wb:FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG')));
+	const kUnemp = $derived(lastOf(pick('imf:LUR', 'wb:SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS')));
+	const kLife = $derived(lastOf('wb:SP.DYN.LE00.IN'));
+	const kTour = $derived(lastOf('wb:ST.INT.ARVL'));
+	const kDebt = $derived(lastOf(pick('imf:GGXWDG_NGDP', 'wb:GC.DOD.TOTL.GD.ZS')));
+	const popDelta = $derived(change(pts('wb:SP.POP.TOTL'), 10)?.pct ?? null);
+	const imfCovered = $derived(has('imf:NGDP_RPCH'));
+</script>
+
+<svelte:head>
+	<title>{name} · countries · stats · Stan Runge</title>
+	<meta
+		name="description"
+		content={`${name} in numbers: population, income, growth, inflation, trade, tourism, government finances and life expectancy, from the World Bank and the IMF.`}
+	/>
+</svelte:head>
+
+<section class="stats-intro">
+	<a class="back" href={resolve('/stats/countries' as '/stats')}
+		><ArrowLeft size={14} /> countries</a
+	>
+	<span class="stats-eyebrow">stats / countries / {c}</span>
+	<h1><span class="flag">{FLAG[c]}</span> {name}</h1>
+	<p>
+		{#if c === 'CUW'}
+			Curaçao has been a country within the Kingdom of the Netherlands since 2010, with about
+			150,000 inhabitants. The IMF's World Economic Outlook doesn't cover it, so the headline
+			numbers here come from the World Bank; detailed CBS Curaçao and central bank series are on
+			their way.
+		{:else}
+			{name} at a glance, from the World Bank's development indicators and the IMF World Economic Outlook{imfCovered
+				? ' (dashed lines are IMF forecasts)'
+				: ''}.
+		{/if}
+	</p>
+</section>
+
+<div class="kpis">
+	<Kpi
+		label="Population"
+		value={compact(kPop?.[1])}
+		sub={` 10 yr · ${period(kPop?.[0], 'A')}`}
+		delta={popDelta}
+		deltaUnit="%"
+		{color}
+	/>
+	<Kpi
+		label="GDP per capita, PPP"
+		value={`$${compact(kGdp?.[1])}`}
+		sub={`constant 2021 int. $ · ${period(kGdp?.[0], 'A')}`}
+		color="#10b981"
+	/>
+	<Kpi
+		label="Real growth"
+		value={num(kGrowth?.[1], 1)}
+		unit="%"
+		sub={period(kGrowth?.[0], 'A')}
+		color="#3b82f6"
+	/>
+	<Kpi
+		label="Inflation"
+		value={num(kInfl?.[1], 1)}
+		unit="%"
+		sub={period(kInfl?.[0], 'A')}
+		color="#e11d48"
+	/>
+	{#if kUnemp}
+		<Kpi
+			label="Unemployment"
+			value={num(kUnemp[1], 1)}
+			unit="%"
+			sub={period(kUnemp[0], 'A')}
+			color="#a855f7"
+		/>
+	{/if}
+	{#if kDebt}
+		<Kpi
+			label="Government debt"
+			value={num(kDebt[1], 0)}
+			unit="% GDP"
+			sub={period(kDebt[0], 'A')}
+			color="#f97316"
+		/>
+	{/if}
+	<Kpi
+		label="Life expectancy"
+		value={num(kLife?.[1], 1)}
+		unit="yr"
+		sub={period(kLife?.[0], 'A')}
+		color="#06b6d4"
+	/>
+	{#if kTour}
+		<Kpi
+			label="Tourist arrivals"
+			value={compact(kTour[1])}
+			sub={period(kTour[0], 'A')}
+			color="#eab308"
+		/>
+	{/if}
+</div>
+
+<h2 class="stats-section-title">People</h2>
+<div class="stats-grid">
+	<StatChart
+		title="Population"
+		subtitle="inhabitants · net migration on the right"
+		sources={['worldbank']}
+		attributions={a}
+		option={(t) =>
+			lineOption(
+				t,
+				[
+					{ name: 'Population', points: pts('wb:SP.POP.TOTL'), color, kind: 'area' },
+					{
+						name: 'Net migration',
+						points: pts('wb:SM.POP.NETM'),
+						color: '#64748b',
+						kind: 'bar',
+						right: true
+					}
+				],
+				{ decimals: 0, min: 'dataMin', rightUnit: 'people' }
+			)}
+	/>
+	<StatChart
+		title="Life expectancy"
+		subtitle="years at birth, next to the Netherlands and the world"
+		sources={['worldbank']}
+		attributions={a}
+		option={(t) =>
+			lineOption(
+				t,
+				[
+					{ name, points: pts('wb:SP.DYN.LE00.IN'), color },
+					...(c !== 'NLD'
+						? [
+								{
+									name: 'Netherlands',
+									points: pts('wb:SP.DYN.LE00.IN', 'NLD'),
+									color: '#f97316',
+									dashed: true
+								}
+							]
+						: []),
+					...(c !== 'WLD'
+						? [
+								{
+									name: 'World',
+									points: pts('wb:SP.DYN.LE00.IN', 'WLD'),
+									color: '#94a3b8',
+									dashed: true
+								}
+							]
+						: [])
+				],
+				{ unit: 'years', decimals: 1, min: 'dataMin' }
+			)}
+	/>
+	<StatChart
+		title="Fertility and ageing"
+		subtitle="births per woman · share aged 65+ on the right"
+		sources={['worldbank']}
+		attributions={a}
+		option={(t) =>
+			lineOption(
+				t,
+				[
+					{ name: 'Fertility rate', points: pts('wb:SP.DYN.TFRT.IN'), color: '#ec4899' },
+					{
+						name: 'Aged 65+ (%)',
+						points: pts('wb:SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS'),
+						color: '#64748b',
+						right: true
+					}
+				],
+				{ unit: 'births', rightUnit: '%', decimals: 2 }
+			)}
+	/>
+</div>
+
+<h2 class="stats-section-title">Economy</h2>
+<div class="stats-grid">
+	<StatChart
+		title="GDP per capita"
+		subtitle="PPP, constant 2021 international $ · vs the Netherlands and the world"
+		sources={['worldbank']}
+		attributions={a}
+		option={(t) =>
+			lineOption(
+				t,
+				[
+					{ name, points: pts('wb:NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD'), color },
+					...(c !== 'NLD'
+						? [
+								{
+									name: 'Netherlands',
+									points: pts('wb:NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD', 'NLD'),
+									color: '#f97316',
+									dashed: true
+								}
+							]
+						: []),
+					...(c !== 'WLD'
+						? [
+								{
+									name: 'World',
+									points: pts('wb:NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD', 'WLD'),
+									color: '#94a3b8',
+									dashed: true
+								}
+							]
+						: [])
+				],
+				{ unit: '$', decimals: 0 }
+			)}
+	/>
+	<StatChart
+		title="Real GDP growth"
+		subtitle={has('imf:NGDP_RPCH') ? '% a year · IMF WEO incl. forecasts' : '% a year · World Bank'}
+		sources={has('imf:NGDP_RPCH') ? ['imf'] : ['worldbank']}
+		attributions={a}
+		option={(t) =>
+			lineOption(
+				t,
+				has('imf:NGDP_RPCH')
+					? imfLines('imf:NGDP_RPCH', 'Growth', '#3b82f6')
+					: [
+							{ name: 'Growth', points: pts('wb:NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG'), color: '#3b82f6', kind: 'bar' }
+						],
+				{ unit: '%', decimals: 1, legend: has('imf:NGDP_RPCH') }
+			)}
+	/>
+	<StatChart
+		title="Inflation"
+		subtitle="% consumer prices, a year"
+		sources={has('imf:PCPIPCH') ? ['imf', 'worldbank'] : ['worldbank']}
+		attributions={a}
+		option={(t) =>
+			lineOption(
+				t,
+				[
+					...(has('imf:PCPIPCH')
+						? imfLines('imf:PCPIPCH', name, '#e11d48')
+						: [{ name, points: pts('wb:FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG'), color: '#e11d48' }]),
+					...(c !== 'NLD'
+						? [
+								{
+									name: 'Netherlands',
+									points: pts('wb:FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG', 'NLD'),
+									color: '#f97316',
+									dashed: true
+								}
+							]
+						: [])
+				],
+				{ unit: '%', decimals: 1 }
+			)}
+	/>
+	{#if has('imf:LUR') || has('wb:SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS')}
+		<StatChart
+			title="Unemployment"
+			subtitle="% of the labour force"
+			sources={has('imf:LUR') ? ['imf'] : ['worldbank']}
+			attributions={a}
+			option={(t) =>
+				lineOption(
+					t,
+					has('imf:LUR')
+						? imfLines('imf:LUR', 'Unemployment', '#a855f7')
+						: [{ name: 'Unemployment', points: pts('wb:SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS'), color: '#a855f7' }],
+					{ unit: '%', decimals: 1 }
+				)}
+		/>
+	{/if}
+	{#if has('wb:NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS') || has('wb:NE.TRD.GNFS.ZS')}
+		<StatChart
+			title="Trade"
+			subtitle="exports and imports of goods and services, % of GDP"
+			sources={['worldbank']}
+			attributions={a}
+			option={(t) =>
+				lineOption(
+					t,
+					[
+						{ name: 'Exports', points: pts('wb:NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS'), color: '#10b981' },
+						{ name: 'Imports', points: pts('wb:NE.IMP.GNFS.ZS'), color: '#e11d48' },
+						{
+							name: 'Services value added',
+							points: pts('wb:NV.SRV.TOTL.ZS'),
+							color: '#64748b',
+							dashed: true
+						}
+					],
+					{ unit: '% GDP', decimals: 1 }
+				)}
+		/>
+	{/if}
+	{#if has('wb:ST.INT.ARVL') || has('wb:ST.INT.RCPT.CD')}
+		<StatChart
+			title="Tourism"
+			subtitle="international arrivals · receipts (US$) on the right"
+			sources={['worldbank']}
+			attributions={a}
+			option={(t) =>
+				lineOption(
+					t,
+					[
+						{ name: 'Arrivals', points: pts('wb:ST.INT.ARVL'), color: '#eab308', kind: 'bar' },
+						{ name: 'Receipts', points: pts('wb:ST.INT.RCPT.CD'), color: '#06b6d4', right: true }
+					],
+					{ decimals: 0, rightUnit: 'US$' }
+				)}
+		/>
+	{/if}
+</div>
+
+<h2 class="stats-section-title">Government and energy</h2>
+<div class="stats-grid">
+	<StatChart
+		title="Government finances"
+		subtitle={has('imf:GGXWDG_NGDP')
+			? '% of GDP · IMF (general government)'
+			: '% of GDP · World Bank (central government)'}
+		sources={has('imf:GGXWDG_NGDP') ? ['imf'] : ['worldbank']}
+		attributions={a}
+		option={(t) =>
+			lineOption(
+				t,
+				has('imf:GGXWDG_NGDP')
+					? [
+							...imfLines('imf:GGXWDG_NGDP', 'Debt', '#e11d48'),
+							...imfLines('imf:GGR_G01_GDP_PT', 'Revenue', '#10b981'),
+							...imfLines('imf:G_X_G01_GDP_PT', 'Spending', '#3b82f6')
+						]
+					: [
+							{ name: 'Debt', points: pts('wb:GC.DOD.TOTL.GD.ZS'), color: '#e11d48' },
+							{ name: 'Revenue', points: pts('wb:GC.REV.XGRT.GD.ZS'), color: '#10b981' },
+							{ name: 'Expense', points: pts('wb:GC.XPN.TOTL.GD.ZS'), color: '#3b82f6' }
+						],
+				{ unit: '% GDP', decimals: 1 }
+			)}
+		note={!has('imf:GGXWDG_NGDP') && !has('wb:GC.DOD.TOTL.GD.ZS')
+			? 'No government finance data for this country yet.'
+			: ''}
+	/>
+	<StatChart
+		title="Energy"
+		subtitle="net energy imports (% of use) · renewable share of electricity"
+		sources={['worldbank']}
+		attributions={a}
+		option={(t) =>
+			lineOption(
+				t,
+				[
+					{ name: 'Net energy imports', points: pts('wb:EG.IMP.CONS.ZS'), color: '#64748b' },
+					{ name: 'Renewable electricity', points: pts('wb:EG.ELC.RNEW.ZS'), color: '#10b981' }
+				],
+				{ unit: '%', decimals: 1 }
+			)}
+	/>
+</div>
+
+<style>
+	.back {
+		display: inline-flex;
+		align-items: center;
+		gap: 0.3rem;
+		color: var(--site-muted);
+		font-size: 0.8rem;
+		text-decoration: none;
+		width: fit-content;
+	}
+	.back:hover {
+		color: var(--site-text);
+	}
+	.flag {
+		font-size: 0.9em;
+	}
+</style>